For those Gentle Readers who may not have heard of Strategic Forecasting, it is the private intelligence agency based in Austin, Texas once referred to by Barron's Magazine as "The Shadow CIA".
Very canny folks, they are courted by international government agencies and Fortune 500 companies.
They are good about publishing free intelligence reports, and one such details the geo-political problems facing President-elect Obama.
Good, thorough intelligence. If you want a solid analysis -- rather than the pablum pandered by the Main Stream Media -- you would be well-served by reading their report.